PLAYS OF THE DAY
2026-05-06 · 7 min read · MLB/Baseball
The Rays, Dodgers, and Twins all have sizeable pitching advantages today.
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We have a trio of best bets for today, and we’re going to stream the first two with you live at 1pm EST on our channel over at www.streamrollers.com. StreamRollers is essentially a YouTube for betting content, and we’re taking advantage of that platform. We had a bunch of people stream with us last night for our best bet, which was just a horrendous beat. Now we're bouncing back with a “Sports Tree-O” of bets that our model loves and that pay +347 on a parlay. You can play each of these picks individually, but we also recommend parlaying all three if you want to take a shot at the big payout. This approach lets you choose your risk level: you get more consistent returns with singles, or you can go for higher rewards by parlaying all three.
Blue Jays @ Tampa Bay Rays
The Tampa Bay Rays are the hottest team in baseball with 9 wins in their last 10 games, and today’s starter, Shane McClanahan, hasn’t given up an earned run in back-to-back starts. In contrast, Jays’ starter Patrick Corbin has had an ERA of 5.20 or higher in four of the past five seasons, and his ERA hasn’t been lower than 4.40 in 6 consecutive years. This Rays team is seeing the ball right now, and Toronto’s bullpen hands out runs like Girl Scouts hand out cookies.
The Tampa Bay Rays are the hottest team in baseball with 9 wins in their last 10 games, and today’s starter, Shane McClanahan, hasn’t given up an earned run in back-to-back starts. In contrast, Jays’ starter Patrick Corbin has had an ERA of 5.20 or higher in four of the past five seasons, and his ERA hasn’t been lower than 4.40 in 6 consecutive years. This Rays team is seeing the ball right now, and Toronto’s bullpen hands out runs like Girl Scouts hand out cookies.
For full transparency, our model emphasizes starting pitching matchups, recent team form, and bullpen effectiveness. These factors give us the edge when identifying value, especially in scenarios like this where the Rays hold advantages in every key area.
Rays -135
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Houston Astros
Tyler Glasnow takes the ball for the Los Angeles Dodgers. He’s in stellar form in 2026, with a 3-0 record, a 2.56 ERA and a 0.83 WHIP. In contrast, Lance McCullers Jr hasn’t been injury-plagued since 2023 and carries a 6.32 ERA with a 1.40 WHIP in 2026 into this matchup. If he struggles, the Houston Astros bullpen ranks among the worst in baseball over the last seven days, posting a 5.88 ERA with a 15% home run rate. The Houston defence as a whole still ranks the worst in baseball, and the Dodgers may be feeling a bit embarrassed after scoring just a lone run last night. Taking the Dodgers at -210 needs to be parlayed, so that’s what we’re doing.
Tyler Glasnow takes the ball for the Los Angeles Dodgers. He’s in stellar form in 2026, with a 3-0 record, a 2.56 ERA and a 0.83 WHIP. In contrast, Lance McCullers Jr hasn’t been injury-plagued since 2023 and carries a 6.32 ERA with a 1.40 WHIP in 2026 into this matchup. If he struggles, the Houston Astros bullpen ranks among the worst in baseball over the last seven days, posting a 5.88 ERA with a 15% home run rate. The Houston defence as a whole still ranks the worst in baseball, and the Dodgers may be feeling a bit embarrassed after scoring just a lone run last night. Taking the Dodgers at -210 needs to be parlayed, so that’s what we’re doing.
Dodgers -210
Minnesota Twins @ Washington Nationals
The Twins took game 1 in this series 11-3 and send Bailey Ober to the mound for Wednesday’s matinée. Ober is 3-1 with a 3.55 ERA on the season, and while he’s due for regression, he’s going against Miles Mikolas, who’s one of the worst starting pitchers in baseball and is having a bad year, even for his lowly standards. His ERA is over 8, and he’s allowing homers and walks at the highest rate of his career. Offensively, the Twins are averaging 4.7 runs per game in their last 10 and hitting .247, while the Nats are averaging 3.9 runs per game and hitting .198 in that same span. Better bats, better starting pitching, and the Twins have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games against teams below .500. Today, they will do exactly that and take advantage of a lopsided pitching matchup to take an early lead.
The Twins took game 1 in this series 11-3 and send Bailey Ober to the mound for Wednesday’s matinée. Ober is 3-1 with a 3.55 ERA on the season, and while he’s due for regression, he’s going against Miles Mikolas, who’s one of the worst starting pitchers in baseball and is having a bad year, even for his lowly standards. His ERA is over 8, and he’s allowing homers and walks at the highest rate of his career. Offensively, the Twins are averaging 4.7 runs per game in their last 10 and hitting .247, while the Nats are averaging 3.9 runs per game and hitting .198 in that same span. Better bats, better starting pitching, and the Twins have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games against teams below .500. Today, they will do exactly that and take advantage of a lopsided pitching matchup to take an early lead.
Twins F5 -135
And remember, if you want to talk shop or ask about any of the picks, our livestream chat will be open throughout. Jump in to ask questions, share your own thoughts, or just join the conversation with fellow bettors. The live Q&A is one of the best parts of streaming with us on StreamRollers.
And remember, if you want to talk shop or ask about any of the picks, our livestream chat will be open throughout. Jump in to ask questions, share your own thoughts, or just join the conversation with fellow bettors. The live Q&A is one of the best parts of streaming with us on StreamRollers.
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By: Conner Rowntree
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