The first semi-final features the third-seed and defending champion Atlanta Drive GC against the No. 2 seed Los Angeles Golf Club. LAGC won their first meeting this season with a decisive 7-3 result. The boys in black shot out to a 4-0 lead from strong team play and didn't look back. Throughout the season, LAGC excelled in team triples, ranking second in both points and holes won during the opening nine holes. While the head-to-head matchup is closely contested, our BMS recognizes LA’s team chemistry, which may provide an early advantage, positioning them to outlast the defending champions.

Jupiter Links benefits from Tom Kim, who is statistically among the best sim players in the TGL and leads the league in multiple ball-striking categories. Akshay Bhatia recently won the API, and while Max Homa has yet to round into form this season, he remains a reliable lead-off player. In contrast, Boston Common's Rory McIlroy is recovering from a back injury, having withdrawn from the API and finishing outside the top 40 at The PLAYERS. As a TGL co-founder and bona fide superstar, McIlroy may be playing through pain for the sake of TGL viewership, especially with Tiger Woods still unavailable. Speculation aside, he is unlikely to be at full strength as we saw on the weekend and will have limited support. Keegan Bradley has yet to record a top-25 finish this season and has missed three cuts in six events in 2026. Adam Scott has also struggled, with only two top-20 finishes in six starts. Jupiter enters the second semi-final with momentum, healthy players, and much stronger recent form.